IETE APEX FORUM
- Yashwant Deva
Dedicated to the Jawan of the
security forces of India,
who
gave his today to make our tomorrow terror-free.
General
This paper has been prepared with a view to defining the scope of the discussion and motivate Indias techno-elite to lend their scholarly and innovative expertise and talent to the global war against terror. This is based on surfing and yet-to-be-actualized ideas that I have formulated during my service in Afghanistan, Sri Lanka and Vietnam abroad, and J&K, Nagaland and Manipur within the country as well as extensive writings on the subject. I acknowledge invaluable contributions from Dr J H Agarwal and Sh Dilip Sahay and help from Col N C Pande in preparing this paper and those of Sh U V Warlu, Gp Capt M Mukutmoni and Maj Gen K B Jhaldiyal in organizing the meet. The staff of the IETE, who have painstakingly downloaded material, made newspaper clippings, and compiled information, particularly that pertaining to the recent forays by terrorists and macabre happenings of 11 September and 13 December 2001, deserve a pat with wholesome words of appreciation.
The Federal Research Division, Library of Congress in September 1998 has published a Bibliography on Future Trends in Terrorism. There are 295 monographs and journal articles surveyed in this bibliography. An article by me, Threats to Cyber Security in the Wake of Pokhran II Indian Defence Review (New Delhi), 13, No 2, April-June 1998, pp. 47-53 has been included. I have extensively drawn from this voluminous work. It is my firm view that bibliographic research is an essential agenda for any down-to-earth erudite endeavour and the IETE is most suited for taking on this responsibility.
The bibliography on terrorism is being enriched at a phenomenal rate. A lot has been written on the shape of things to come in the wake of the 2001 attacks. We have received short papers from the participants to the Forum meet, which are being circulated. Of particular mention is the paper from Sh Dilip Sahay who has invited attention to a host of technologies point-wise for further delving and discussion. All the papers will be acknowledged in the compendium that we intend issuing after the Forum meet.
Combating terrorism is a generic description of the subject. It includes rubrics of terrorism, antiterrorism and counter-terrorism i.e. coverage spanning both defensive and offensive facets of prevention, detection, surveillance, monitoring, terror-hunting, counter-hijacking, destruction and use of clandestine means to wipe off the menace. The scope of technologies and a posteriori our own mission is therefore limitless.
Scope
Only some aspects have been covered in this paper and it is an uncompleted staff work. Its purpose is to initiate debate, not to limit it. Fresh ideas, add-on explanations, comments, suggestions and addenda are therefore welcome.
Paradigm
Shift
There has been a paradigm shift in the nature and modus operandi of terrorism and of significance in the application of technology. As to the former, terrorism has become highly technology savvy besides changing colour as a pastime of the rich and power-grabs.
Is a terrorist-initiated chemical or biological attack inevitable? A report by the U.S. Senate Subcommittee says, Yes and amplifies, "It is not a matter of IF, but rather WHEN such an event will occur. Many of the terrorist groups of today appear more and more likely to utilize weapons of mass destruction." That report was released in March 1996 and the attacks though not employing WMD, but of no less intensity were launched on WTC and Pentagon in September 2001 and on the Parliament of India in December 2001.
The Chairman of the Forum Meet, Sh K Santanam showed me a video titled Merchants of Mass Destruction. It sent chill down my spine, self-condoling civilizations inevitable march to doom. We have arranged a showing of this twenty-minute coverage of hell-market that prospers in our neighbourhood, ominous and revealing as the prospects are, should we remain complacent.
The New York Times held an
online Dialogue with techno-elite after 11 September disaster with a pertinent
poser, Is
Technology an ally? I quote
Ray Kurzweils response to the poser whither technological innovation, From centralized technologies to distributed ones and from the real world to the
virtual ones. This then is the nature of the technology paradigm shift
the very rate of which has been
doubling every decade, further compounded by the perspective
of its deeply intertwined promise and peril.
Dilip Sahay rightly quotes that future terrorist attacks will not be a repeat of the ones that we witnessed last year. He writes, The first thing it seems is that various means to counter terrorism under development in the US and elsewhere could not have been utilized to protect 11 September attacks. Neither airport detectors that sense plastic weapons and explosives nor state-of-the-art sensors that ferret chemical, biological or nuclear material of mass destruction would have revealed presence of murderous fanatics armed with box cutters, familiar with airline cockpits and determined to exchange their deaths for many more lives. Thus a new reality has dawned in which terrorism is demonstrated to be far more determined, adaptable and resourceful than was previously imagined. Nevertheless, that revelation does not suggest it is time to abandon or even curtail work on technical aspect of counter-terrorism.
Of certain there shall be novelty, more so in terms of technical ingenuity. The terrorists are learning faster than we, the civilized, motivated as they are and benumbed by trauma, if not callous and emotionally unconcerned as we are.
Remote Control Technology
Rather than a recent phenomenon, terrorism has existed for thousands of years. What is significant about modern-day threat is its remote control nature. We have no precise knowledge, let alone evidence as to who drives the terror wagon. Remote-controlled bombs, remote-controlled intelligence operatives, remote-controlled communications and remote-controlled means to counter remote controlled space-based communications and sensors are the methods and tactics adopted and practiced by the terrorists. The technology is fast becoming easier to access by the terrorists. It too is a gain because of remote controlled means and methods, employed surreptitiously. Proxy operations make it possible for terrorists to escape or die without leaving telltale evidence about the hands that guide terror.
Let us take a
hard look at the various facets and nuances of this technology for exploitation
as also counter-exploitation.
Electronic Eyes and Noses
Sensors, scanners and sniffers are a gift of the technology to keep the terror-wielders and the recalcitrant under watch and bounds of law. It is ironic that the terrorists and the brigands beyond the pale of law avidly and virtually savour the fruits of technology, highly updated as they are on its boons and blessings. Varied technologies interlaced with ingenious techniques are employed, the sophistication of which has no limits. That is true of the civilized too, yet we have taken a beating.
There are plenty of areas in which we have perpetually floundered, and call for a security overhaul based on a. survey of the state-of-the-art in intelligence-gathering and security-check operations.
Airport Security. Sniffer dogs have been extensively employed for explosive detection in Europes larger airports e.g. Heathrow and Frankfurt. In view of more sophisticated concealment methods, an example of which is Richard Reids escapade with explosives hidden in his shoes, a pertinent question arises whether dogs can do a fail-proof job. That is no reflection on canine whose qualities of lead and loyalty are unparalleled, and a squad of which proudly passed out at Chennai on January 31, 2002. Can electro-technology or biosensory systems help, where canine slip up? Some such research is planned by Bofors of Sweeden on artificial nose. Reportedly, highly refined, dynamic screening systems adaptable to different threats and suitable and specific to conditions at a particular airport have been approved and installed by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Examples are CTX 5500 of InVision Technologies, Z-Scan 7, and TSS 2000. Kuala Lumpur International Airport has purchased six of the first mentioned explosive detection systems. German Heimann Systems Company has developed a "smart" explosive detection system to cater to the ever-sophisticated needs of the commercial airports for hundred percent x-ray screening of baggage. Technologies for sniffing explosives in luggage holds and carry-on baggage that call for in-depth investigation, suitability probing and indigenous development are: Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) and Nuclear Quadruple Resonance (NQR) Scanning. The products are particularly designed to identify ammonium nitrate, black powder, and PETN (pentaerythrityl tetranitrate). The challenge of plastic knives and explosives is another area, which needs to be probed. Apparently a sophisticated imagery system is the answer, but it too may be easily defeated. Airport and aviation security have become highly bionics conscious. The measures that are being tried out are:
Facial recognition technology that converts a photograph or video image of a face into an equation that describes its geometric characteristics. Madrake system at Newham , South London has this facility.
Electronic fingerprinting which could be incorporated in smart ID
cards, of the employees
entering sensitive areas.
Iris recognition check-in at the airport. This has been installed
at Schipol, Amsterdam and
some other airfields.
DNA databases to store and compare genetic information
Introduction of bionics-incorporated smart cards. WESSEE have done
some pioneering work
on it.
Cockpit Security. Cockpit security has been frequently violated and this is a serious matter. Once a hijacker takes control of the aircraft, he wrests initiative and dictates terms. Use of laser-based system that temporarily blinds cockpit-intruder and air filters to prevent contamination of the cabin and obviate spread of spores have been suggested. Care has to be taken that the systems are not only fail-proof, but also false-alarm proof.
Tunnel Hunting. The coalition forces tried out motley of sensing gadgetry. One such method used for identification is body odour. It is believed that the US forces employed devices that detect body smells coming from the tunnel holes. The remote sensors used for detection are claimed to be highly sensitive in that they can distinguish smells of different ethnic groups because of their food habits. It appears that odour detectors have come a long way since the Vietnam days. Called peoples sniffer, the device, which I had the opportunity to see in Saigon in 1971, was rather a crude one. It could not discern ammonia excreted by humans from that by cattle, a fact the Vietcong soon learnt and exploited to advantage. Other devices, which the Americans deployed to ferret out Osama bin Laden and his ilk, are:
Airborne gravimeters that detect variations in gravitational pull near the tunnel.
Infrared heat sensors to pick up movement near the entrance of the tunnel.
Planting of microphones to detect noise.
Miniature cameras in ventilation shafts.
Tele-controlled robots and remote-controlled buggies carrying gadgetry
Ferreting Improvised Explosive Device (IED). A large number of casualties in terrorist-prone areas are due to IEDs planted at unobtrusive spots and ambush sites. The toll taken by this menace is heavy indeed as has been our experience in Operations Pawan and Rakshak.. Remote controlled IEDs are a major threat, although the terrorists of the type Jehadi and Tamil Tigers have shown proclivity for suicidal human bombs too. Many counter-measures have been experimented with. We had some successes in convoy protection during Operation Pawan in Sri Lanka by prematurely detonating the device through sweep jamming the frequency-band. However a fail-proof technology has yet to be evolved and exploited. A helicopter-mounted contrivance is needed that can ferret and abortively destroy the IED.
Prototypes and Products on the Anvil. Some gadgets, which are on the anvil for sniffing illicit material are listed below. The downloaded paper Some high-tech devices/technologies showcased by labs for combating terrorism has been sent by Dr J H Agarwal for further reference and research:
The chemical and biological mass spectrometer of Oak Ridge
National Laboratory,
Tennessee, billed as
the first integrated instrument capable of detecting and identifying both
chemical and biological
warfare agents.
The Raman tunable integrated sensor of Oak Ridge, a chemical agent
detector for use by
emergency personnel arriving at the scene of an disaster or
terrorist attack.
The acoustic inspection device of PNNL, a handheld ultrasonic instrument that can "see" inside of sealed containers,
The cylindrical holographic imaging system of PNNL, which emits
non-ionizing millimeter waves
from a wide-band array that penetrate clothing but
bounce off the body and other objects. The
reflected waves are picked up by a
transceiver, digitized, and sent to a computer, resulting in a
three-dimensional
image of a person, sans clothes. The system can see concealed weapons
made of
plastic, ceramics, and metal and can show a 360 degree view of a person.
The compact neutron source of Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory designed to use
neutrons to scan baggage, air cargo, mail, and other
"closed containers" for fissionable materials and explosives.
The handheld advanced nucleic acid analyzer of Lawrence Livermore, which can do four complete polymerase chain reaction DNA analyses of two different DNA sequences simultaneously in 15 minutes. The battery-operated machine, slightly larger than a scientific calculator, is intended to enable emergency workers to identify biological warfare agents in the field.
The nuclear portal monitor and Palm Pilot neutron and gamma
detector of Los Alamos, designed to detect and identify illicit movement of
nuclear materials.
Immigration and Border Crossing. One of the major problems that we confront is that of duplicates (reportedly bin Laden has quite a few) and hidden-faces behind wigs and beards. Identity usurpation is a common practice in the underworld of terror and crime. Most illegal violations happen because of connivance of security and custom personnel. Technology can not only intercept intrusions but also keep a check on the recalcitrant employees.
Biological weapons are relatively inexpensive and are easy to produce. The formulations are of two types, liquid or dry. The dry formulation stores longer and disperses better when used. There are three ways of delivering it, viz. contamination of food and water, release of infected vectors like mosquitoes or flies and creation of aerosol cloud. It is the last one, which is the most effective and efficient. However in India the water purification and storage system being as it is, it may not be that difficult to contaminate water as in the developed countries. Although the highly sophisticated variety employing a combine of various agents require scientific expertise and elaborate lab facilities, a cruder version can be produced in a backyard with limited facilities. In his article, "Targeting Sudan: Why We Bombed Osama bin Laden's Shadowy World of Intrigue," Soldier of Fortune, 23, No. 12, December 1998, pp. 48-51, Al J.Verner suggests that the U.S. bombing of Khartoum's Al Shifa Pharmaceutical factory was probably a mistake. Nevertheless, he avers that the soil sample clandestinely removed from the factory's rose garden did present incontrovertible evidence of EMPTA, a precursor for manufacture of deadly VX nerve gas.
Creation of extensive databases containing reference information
on biological weapons
characteristics.
Design and development of biological agent detection equipment.
Analysis of possible attack scenarios and their consequences.
Development of new and revision of existing manuals and handbooks.
Conduct of intensive training of those who serve as first respondents to bioattacks.
It would be desirable if the IETE is entrusted with some of these responsibilities and lends its expertise to the endeavour as part of national agenda.
Cyber
Intelligence (CYBERINT)
Intelligence gathering is no more a cloak and dagger affair. It is
scientific, it is precise and it is technology-driven.

Whereas human operatives tell lies, the computer does not and that is what makes TECHINT (technology intelligence) superior to HUMINT (human intelligence). Undoubtedly, the latter can be spoofed, spied and spin-doctored, as the former duped and corrupted
It is widely known that Al Qaida terrorists and others of their ilk hunt for information on the Internet, often leaving valuable clues while surfing and communicating. Therefore it is logical that the civilized look for and pursue them at their haunt rather than go on wild tunnel-hunting missions. Adam Pasik writes in Sifting Through Data to Detect New Attacks, (infowar.com) The problem is that intelligence and law enforcement agencies are searching the worlds biggest haystack - untold exabytes, or quintillion of bytes of data stored on computers across the globe to uncover a few dangerous needles.
I carried out an analysis in 1999, which revealed the following, (extract from the presentation Ibid.):
is a spokesman for Osama bin Laden.
spamming has been acquired.
Call for terror Ramazan 1998 (21 December 1998)
Hijack to Kandhar Ramzaan 1999 (25 December 1999)
Attack on Parliament Ramzaan 2001 (13 December 2001)
Psy and Techtronic Terrorism
A paper on psychotronic terrorism has been circulated. Terrorism is more
of a psychological warfare. Therefore, profiling terrorist in a scientific way
helps. The profiles along with biometric data can be archived and retrieved when
required. Whereas knowledge helps in fighting gripe and fear, in its different
manifestations it spawns the very tools of terror. Writing critically
about profiling in his paper Terrorism and Surveillance:
Security, Freedom, and Justice after September 11, 2001 David Lyon has this to
say, Some limitations on wiretaps have not only been lifted, but also
extended to the interception of e-mail and to Internet clickstream monitoring.
In Canada the Communication Security Establishment (This is a counterpart of US
National Security Agency and is a partner in Project Echelon) will be able to
gather intelligence on terrorist groups, probably using profiling methods
to track racial and national origins as well as travel movements and financial
transactions. Several countries have proposed new national identification card
systems, some involving biometric devices or programmable chips.
In April 1999, Applied Systems Intelligence Inc. (ASI) was selected by the United States Air Force to develop innovative information technology for a Global Information Base (GIB) of storing global awareness information besides providing information services for dynamic planning and execution of operations. The software developed by the firm is called KARNAC, short for Knowledge-Aided Retrieval iN Activity Context. It is a highly versatile broad-based project anchored on a bunch of technologies and decision support and database management systems. It is designed to detect, identify and corroborate impending terrorist operations, inter alia missions of the like kind.
The news
that a Bangalore based company Stratify has provided CIA
software. Junglee to sift through a myriad of unstructured information
pieces that stream into the organisation every day is highly encouraging. The
project has been funded by In-Q-Tel, an independent investing arm of the CIA,
who are building a portfolio of highly innovative technologies that are
commercially available and can be exploited for intelligence use. It goes
through e-mails, letters and sometimes just rumours sent in by CIA operatives
across the world to lend a logical pattern and coherence. Besides other
attributes, the software understands different languages, including Persian,
Arabic, French and German.
A California-based computer consultant found a major flaw in a computerized security system used in some U.S. and British airports, according to a story in the New York Times datelined February 7, 1998. The glitch would allow terrorists to penetrate security in airports. The system, made by Receptors Inc. in Torrance, California, used electronic badges to limit access to secured areas in airports and other institutions. The consulting firm, MSB Associates, determined that the system could be manipulated by an intruder via telephone lines or a computer network. By dialing into the system's central computer, a person could create unauthorized badges and erase evidence of their use. The same technique could be used to unlock doors to secure areas. Vulnerabilities, risks and threats are on the increase. So are the security measures, viz.:
Tools for the detection, extraction, storage, transmission, scanning, and forensic analysis of laptops, PDAs and digital video imagery devices.
Automatic voice recognition system based on algorithms to detect changes and identify languages.
Improved algorithms for identifying faces from video sequences.
Use of voiceprints to locate and correlate suspects.
After-Strike Operational and Civic
life Continuity
Maintaining normal civic life in peace and operational efficiency in war in the event of a disaster is critical to any society or organization. As our reliance on information systems to propel variegated elements and ambient factors of social existence continues to grow, a lag in system-restart following a terrorist strike could well prove to be fatal. Greater the disruption more the perceived success of the terror mission. The focus of disaster recovery and disaster planning should therefore, be fused with recovery from bombing, NBC strike, cyberattack and psychotronic mayhem. In this regard. We have much to learn from the Americans. Their recovery operations at WTC were executed meticulously. We need to investigate the role technology can play in organizing and executing civil defence plans and accomplishing recovery in real time while maintaining sustained social, economic and security activity. This needs to be seen both from the military and business perspectives with the aim of structuring and maintaining an effective continuity plan. Of greater consequence is an implicit faith in technology, be it electrtechnology, be it infotechnology, be it biotechnology or for that matter any other manifestation of it.
The most pressing problem involving WMD, e.g. release of a chemical or biological agent, is that of identification. As was the case in Bhopal gas tragedy, and is true of every accident involving industrial hazardous-material, the first priority in the management of the incident involves ascertaining the properties of the substance that had been released. You may recall that Dr Mashelkar described this challenge vividly at the Apex meet on Technologies for Disaster Management. It is the start-point for all rescue and emergency work and the challenge for the engineering community. It is only after identity of the pathogen, toxin or other agent has been established that effective steps can be taken to neutralize the effect, decontaminate the area, and execute emergency evacuation, damage control, medical treatment and environmental preservation plans. The entire gamut of the civil defence must be technology-centred. Information plays an important part and when chips are down, technical information is difficult to come by. This truism sets our agenda.
Technology Thrust Areas
Artificial Intelligence and Knowbots.
This
audience fully understands the
principles of artificial intelligence and robotics and appreciates their
potential. I need not dwell on it. Knowbot on the other hand maybe a new term,
another of similar meaning is moneybot. Knowbot is a software that greatly
simplifies the use of information technology. It acts as a template that filters
the information in accordance with the prescribed rules and criteria. They are
not just text retrieval processes but focus on concepts. Most of the knowbots
are active even when the user is not logged in.
Biological and chemical detection systems. Techniques to monitor,
detect and characterise
purposefully concealed, clinical, biological,
radiological, nuclear and highly explosive substances
and to render them
useless. It facilitates rapid neutralization of vehicle-borne explosives,
chemical, biological, nuclear and radiological devices.
Microfluidic Molecular Systems, which can provide multiple reaction and analysis techniques in one micrioinstrument and be deployed remotely, highly relevant to biometric systems with automated sample acquisition, sample preparation, analysis, detection, identification, verification and instantaneous digital output, all rolled in one.
Microsensors and transducers. to include a wide variety of subsets and applications:
- Thermal sensors
- Mechanical Sensors
- Radiation sensors
- CCDs (Charged Couple Devices)
- Pyroelectric sensiors
- Integrated optics
- Magnetic sensors
- ISFET sensors
-
Enzyme-based biosensers
-
Micrelectrodes for neurophysiology
Public health and environment monitoring systems.
Micromunitions and Nanobombs.
Space systems where weight and size are critical.
Disaster rescue systems.
Manpack systems to reduce weight carried by the Jawan.